Distribution modelling
The first robust prediction of ancient and veteran tree distribution based on modelling using ATI data and independent field studies.
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Since 2006 we have mapped over 209,000 ancient and veteran trees with the Ancient Tree Inventory. But we've only just scratched the surface. New research is helping us discover trees so that we can better record and protect them.
The Ancient Tree Inventory (ATI) maps the distribution and condition of ancient and veteran trees across the UK. So far it holds more than 209,000 records, yet this may account for less than 10% of the nation's oldest trees.
Finding and mapping the UK's oldest and most precious trees is the first step in protecting them. New research is helping us build a more accurate picture of where ancient and veteran trees may still be unrecorded in England. With it we'll be able to identify ancient tree 'hotspots', giving our volunteers the tools they need to identify key areas for recording and find otherwise undiscovered trees. Better targeting efforts will play a vital role in recording and protecting ancient trees.
I hope this research aids future targeted surveys of trees, speeding up their discovery and helping with their conservation and management.
With our support, Dr Victoria Nolan predicted the distribution of ancient and other noteworthy trees across the UK, in a 4-year PhD study at the University of Nottingham.
Victoria's research shows that there is a high chance of finding new trees in remote, inaccessible and seemingly uninteresting areas.
This research demonstrates that it is possible to visualise the true distribution of trees across England, with three key findings:
By using mathematical models, ATI data and independent field surveys it is possible to produce a more accurate picture of where ancient and veteran trees are.
While identifying the key environmental factors that impact where ancient trees can be found, Victoria discovered that wood pastures may support an estimated 100,000 trees across England alone.
The newly-developed scientific model predicts that there could be 2,000,000 ancient, veteran and notable trees across the whole of England.
Less than 10% of ancient and veteran trees have been recorded.
Ancient and veteran trees are vital havens for wildlife, as well as important carbon stores. These valuable living legends are vulnerable and need legal protection.
The prediction of 2,000,000 ancient, veteran and notable trees highlights that the UK has an even richer population of ancient and veteran trees than first thought. This amazing number is also worrying, with many valuable trees going unrecorded and unprotected. This emphasises the need to find and record these trees for their protection and conservation.
Victoria's research provides vital evidence that will underpin our conservation work to protect ancient and veteran trees.
For the first time ever, it gives us a tool that can help us to identify areas where there is a greater chance of ancient and veteran trees being present. We are excited about how this work will help influence future recording to the ATI and bring greater protection to the UK's living legends.
The first robust prediction of ancient and veteran tree distribution based on modelling using ATI data and independent field studies.
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A summary of the key information provided by the ATI and an overview of ancient and veteran trees from a nationwide perspective.
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How historical maps combined with scientific modelling can accurately predict the abundance of ancient trees in English wood pastures.
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For information on the Ancient Tree Inventory please contact Tom Reed, citizen science officer at ancienttreeinventory@woodlandtrust.org.uk.
Contact our team for more information about our conservation research programme and grant funding, research@woodlandtrust.org.uk.